STATISTICAL ANALYSIS ON THE REPORTED CASES OF MALARIA IN GENERAL HOSPITAL KEFFI
Abstract
This study presents a statistical analysis of reported malaria cases at the General Hospital Keffi, spanning a ten-year period (2014–2023). The research aimed to determine the trend of malaria infections, assess the relative contribution of adult and pediatric cases to overall prevalence and mortality, and forecast future cases up to 2025. Secondary data were obtained from hospital medical records and analyzed using descriptive statistics, multiple regression, and time series forecasting. Findings revealed that adults recorded higher infection rates, while pediatric cases contributed more significantly to malaria-related mortality. Regression results showed strong predictive relationships between adult and pediatric cases and total infection, with pediatric mortality exerting the greatest impact on overall deaths. Time series models forecast that by 2025, approximately 309 adults and 255 pediatric patients will likely be infected, while malaria-related deaths are projected at 12 among adults and 13 among pediatric patients. The study concludes that malaria remains a persistent health challenge in Keffi, requiring urgent intervention. It recommends increased public health education, targeted pediatric care, enhanced access to treatment, and stronger government investment in malaria prevention and eradication strategies.
Chapter One
Malaria is a vector borne infectious disease, which is caused by protozoan parasite of the genus plasmodium. Malaria is a life-threatening parasitic disease transmitted by mosquitoes. It is widespread in tropical and subtropical regions. Malaria is one of the most common infectious disease and enormous public health problem. The malaria parasite undergoes a series of changes as part of its complex lifecycle. Its various stages allow plasmodium to evade the immune system, infect the liver and red blood cells, and finally develop into a form that is able to infect a mosquito again when it bites an infected person. Inside the mosquito, the parasite matures until it reaches that sexual stage where it can again infect a human host when the mosquito sucks the host, 10 to 14 or more days later. The Malaria remains one of the most serious global health problems. There are an estimated one million deaths each year, with nearly seventy five percent (75%) occurring in children living in sub-Saharan Africa.
Project Details
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